2022 Quick Lane Bowl Prediction, Odds, Line: Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State election, bet from proven model

Both teams should be fired up to be in postseason contention on Monday when the New Mexico State Aggies face the Bowling Green Falcons in the 2022 Quick Lane Bowl. Not much was expected of either team, but both finished the season 6-6 to earn bowl berths. That means both teams will be highly motivated to win on Monday at Detroit’s Ford Field. The Aggies won their last two games, crushing Valparaiso 65-3 in the regular season finale. This is their fifth bowl game, and only their second since 1960. BGSU defeated Toledo 42-35 on November 15 to become bowl eligible, then lost 38-14 to Ohio in the final. The Falcons are in their 13th bowl game, but this is their first since 2015.

Kickoff is set for Monday at 2:30 PM ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Falcons as 3.5-point favorites in their latest New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Quick Lane Bowl odds and over/under for total points are set at 48.5. Before you lock in any Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State or Quick Lane Bowl games, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 bettors on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has locked in New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green and just revealed their Quick Lane Bowl 2022 predictions. You can go to SportsLine to see the model’s selection. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State:

  • New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green spread: Falcons -3.5
  • New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green Over/Under: 48.5 points
  • New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green money line: Aggies +143, Falcons -170
  • NMSU: It’s 14-10 ATS since the start of the 2020 season
  • BG: It’s 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight non-conference games
  • New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green selection: See selection here

Featured game | Bowling Green Falcons vs. New Mexico State Aggies

Why the Falcons can cover

Bowling Green has played one of the tougher schedules in the MAC, going 5-3. The Aggies had one of the easiest schedules in the nation, and two of their wins came against FCS teams. The Falcons’ passing attack can be potent when it gets rolling, and quarterback Matt McDonald threw for 2,639 yards and 22 touchdowns this season. Bowling Green is 4-2 when passing for at least 247 yards and 2-4 when it doesn’t. The Falcons average 237 passing yards per game.

They beat Marshall a week after the Thundering Herd knocked off Notre Dame and defeated Toledo, the eventual MAC champion. McDonald threw for 395 yards in the win against the Rockets to clinch bowl eligibility. Odieu Hiliare had 246 receiving yards in that game and has 704 and six TDs this season. Teammate Tyrone Broden has also scored six times, and tight end Christian Sims has 41 receptions. The Falcons are 3-3 against the spread in their last six.

Why the Aggies can cover

New Mexico State doesn’t have a ton of bowl experience, but it has never lost a postseason game, going 3-0-1. The Aggies are built around defense, and they shouldn’t have too much trouble against Bowling Green. The Falcons average 338 yards per game (106th in FBS), while the Aggies allow 343 (33rd). NMSU ranks 14th in the nation against the pass (185 YPG). While the Aggies are average against the run, BGSU is averaging just 101 yards on the ground (121st).

The Aggies also have a potent running game that averages 156 yards, led by Star Thomas with 477 yards. Quarterback Diego Pavia is expected to play Monday, and he has rushed for 443. The junior threw for 323 yards and a career-high four touchdown passes in the finale against Valparaiso. The Aggies rushed for 232 yards in the game and averaged 11.9 yards per play. New Mexico State is 7-5 ATS this season after going 5-1 ATS in its last six games.

How to Make New Mexico St. Vs. Bowling Green election

The model has simulated the Quick Lane Bowl matchup 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans on the score, with simulations projecting 50 combined scores. The model has also generated a point spread selection that hits in 60% of the simulations. You can only get the model’s Quick Lane Bowl selection at SportsLine.

So who will win Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State in Monday’s Quick Lane Bowl? And which side of the spread does it hit 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green spread to Monday in the Quick Lane Bowl, everything from the advanced model that has crushed its top-ranked college football picks, and find out.

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